Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.806276 5.526281 6.282470 7.132664 8.058723 9.033763 10.134859
2024-12-15 3.998689 5.048878 6.219367 7.607065 9.193864 10.938802 12.989634
2024-12-22 3.235555 4.471343 5.927580 7.737799 9.895550 12.354689 15.338169
2024-12-29 2.799511 4.192723 5.915711 8.143488 10.888794 14.105555 18.102934
2025-01-05 2.423677 3.920918 5.858173 8.453412 11.745841 15.695847 20.703476
2025-01-12 2.061564 3.606091 5.695836 8.591670 12.365763 16.991536 22.961015
2025-01-19 1.700824 3.234252 5.407883 8.524221 12.694214 17.911042 24.756861
2025-01-26 1.472619 3.020164 5.305839 8.679376 13.293687 19.163743 26.971096
2025-02-02 1.277142 2.824887 5.204442 8.814468 13.853623 20.362538 29.124932
2025-02-09 1.040066 2.520862 4.907750 8.644369 13.979829 20.987582 30.545884
2025-02-16 0.842452 2.248833 4.628294 8.470786 14.078881 21.562474 31.895837
2025-02-23 0.709979 2.072264 4.479626 8.473555 14.412225 22.442860 33.644762
2025-03-02 0.577950 1.873456 4.279085 8.390688 14.628395 23.183304 35.244646
2025-03-09 0.526756 1.836198 4.350177 8.731463 15.464659 24.782196 38.007265
2025-03-16 0.442899 1.706983 4.245178 8.782900 15.873404 25.797938 40.004598
2025-03-23 0.411233 1.695809 4.352057 9.178874 16.800464 27.544455 43.005101
2025-03-30 0.373337 1.660577 4.409265 9.492103 17.607401 29.133101 45.809837
2025-04-06 0.322179 1.577176 4.365220 9.630414 18.148191 30.352236 48.124052
2025-04-13 0.259165 1.440462 4.200917 9.551941 18.348755 31.087028 49.779928
2025-04-20 0.224394 1.378271 4.180094 9.716956 18.926057 32.363402 52.190618
2025-04-27 0.192736 1.315472 4.150498 9.861576 19.469980 33.594554 54.546900
2025-05-04 0.146082 1.178475 3.944770 9.677154 19.482887 34.051942 55.827828
2025-05-11 0.108210 1.052333 3.745499 9.489221 19.478525 34.477070 57.061497